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We had a presentation yesterday on a number of things, but one that stood out was this slide. This shows OpenAI projecting a 108% growth rate from 2024-2029 using its 2024 actual revenue of $3.7B.

A study of 19,000 companies from 1950-2024 with beginning annual sales between $2-5B, or similar to OpenAI, showed an average growth rate of 7.0%, with standard deviation of 10.6%.

The OpenAI projection is a 9.5 standard deviation from the average of the study. A 9.5 standard deviation event would occur once every 15.1 trillion years. No typo.

This balloon burst is likely to be catastrophic to the tech industry.

📸 you don’t update iPadOS and download a browser while tethered to your phone so you can connect to the hotel’s WiFi (then connect VPN) while at a hotel?
https://some.pics/69e829e0e99a1

Crucial Track for 17 April 2026: "Dawn of Victory" by Rhapsody

It’s like Lord of the Rings met epic metal and that’s all I ever needed. I used to play guitar along to this album in the early 2000s.

(They since had to rename as Rhapsody of Fire.)

View entry:
https://www.crucialtracks.org/profile/jason/20260417

Anyone have a recommendation for a new cable modem? Ours is quite old.

We were getting ready to order a new Orbi mesh system and then Netgear makes their announcement and now I don’t know what to get. (We’ve had our Orbi for a few years and it’s always worked well.)

JFC no Dem needs another email from James Carville

be ungovernable click every link in an email or unknown text number

“… And Justice for All,” is not only the best Metallica album by a mile but it is also the last good album they put out.

don’t @ me